The rest of the season is played out 10,000 times. Each simulated week draws every team's score from a blend of its projected lineup and what it has actually scored, then the league's tiebreaks and 6-team bracket settle the rest.
* 1.01 odds are approximate: next year's first rookie pick goes to the lowest Max PF among the teams that miss the playoffs.
Seasons simulated
10,000
Playoff spots
6
First-round byes
2
Seed
2028651051
Playoff and title odds
Season odds from 10,000 simulated seasons, ranked by title odds, then playoff odds
Team
Playoffs %
Title %
W-L
Exp wins
Bye %
Last %
1.01 %* (approximate)
PeterNjigba’s in Paris
Playoff odds over time
One board per team, one column per week, 5% per dot, ranked by the latest playoff odds. The big number is the latest run. Unlit columns are weeks still to come.
01BrandonKraft YAC & Cheese
100.0 percent100.0+0.1 since W7
100500
>99.9
42.7
4-2
8.7
79.9
0
0
BrandonKraft YAC & Cheese
100
40.8
5-1
9.5
93.8
0
0
CarlosThe Mayeflower
99.3
10.6
4-2
7.9
23.9
0
0
JustinShough and Fhough
84.1
1.9
3-3
6.2
1.3
0.5
<0.1
Navid
75.4
1.8
3-3
5.8
0.8
0.6
<0.1
EthanLove on the Spectrum
50.0
1.5
2-4
4.7
<0.1
3.4
0
Anish
37.0
0.5
2-4
4.8
<0.1
5.7
0.1
Alex
38.3
0.4
3-3
5.1
0.2
3.3
3.0
DevanteLet A Naysayer Know
14.2
<0.1
2-4
4.2
0
18.7
12.5
Most likely to finish last: Matthew
1.6
0
2-4
3.2
0
67.9
84.4
Ranked by title odds, then playoff odds.Likeliest to finish last